May I ask how these "ratings" are configured? Robinson mercy ruled two of the teams in the 4A top 10. Yet Dover is 2 and Robinson not ranked?
I know there have been many people asking why Pulaski Robinson has dropped out of the Top 10 in the GPR this week. There are a lot of variables involved, but I will explain the best and simplest way I can.
A look at Pulaski Robinson’s rankings week by week:
1) #4
2) #4
3) #5
4) #5
5) #7
6) #5
7) #5
8) #11
Pulaski Robinson has been a favorite in their games each week this season, except for this week.
The strength of schedule (SOS) has hurt the past two weeks. The average opposition ranking the past two weeks has been 19.40. The average opposition rating for the first 5 weeks was 42.74.
Predicted margin of victory and actual margin of victory are also calculated. Here’s an example: If a team has a predicted margin of victory of 10 and the actual margin of victory is 7, they attained 70% of the predicted margin. The past two weeks, Robinson has only attained 70.8% of the predicted margin against an opposition rating of 19.40. The first 5 weeks they attained 116.7% of the predicted margin, with the opposition rating of 42.74.
There has been a decline in Robinson’s power numbers the past two weeks, but this past week was a big drop in ranking as well as numbers, as other teams slightly below them last week has 1) a better SOS, 2) more successful predicted to actual margin of victory, or 3) both.
The eye test shows Robinson is for sure a top 10 team, and several will say they are the best in 4A. I don’t doubt any of those statements at all. I do not want the GPR to be a measuring stick for coaches to analyze how much they should defeat an opponent to maintain a status with the poll. This is not the purpose of the explanation. This is a power poll with numbers. I have always been into numbers and analytical data. This is an analytic-based system I created on my own. I had no help from anyone creating this power poll. I created this in 1995, really before power polls were nationally known, with the exception of maybe Sagarin. Numbers DO NOT measure the heart of a team. All that really counts is who is standing with the plaque on the 50 yard-line on week 15 at WMS!!!!!